HONESTY is sometimes in short supply when accounting for
military action. The appearance of Tony Blair in the debate about
the latest violence in Iraq reawakened the attack dogs that have
been relatively drowsy since his resignation as Prime Minister
seven years ago. But also some supporters: generous observers -
there are a few - acknowledge that reasons existed that justified
miliary action against Saddam Hussein, even if Weapons of Mass
Destruction were a fiction. Leaving him in power would not have
guaranteed peace in the region.
When considering the significance of the ISIS annexation of
northern Iraq, however, the Afghan war is more instructive. In
response to the 9/11 attacks on the World Trade Center, President
George W. Bush launched Operation Enduring Freedom against the
Taliban on 7 October 2001. In his justification for the action, the
President spoke of the threat that the Taliban regime posed to the
West. The action was part of the US campaign against terrorism:
"Today we focus on Afghanistan, but the battle is broader. . . In
this conflict, there is no neutral ground. If any government
sponsors the outlaws and killers of innocents, they have become
outlaws and murderers, themselves. And they will take that lonely
path at their own peril."
The ISIS forces currently sweeping through Iraq pose a
potentially greater threat than did the al-Qaeda camps in
Afghanistan. ISIS is well funded, has cut its teeth in the Syrian
conflict, and contains nationals of many countries, including, in
all probability, Britain. Yet the tiniest of hints at military
intervention, even by former politicians, have met fierce
opposition. As a conseqence, the division of Iraq into three ethnic
portions - the Sunni, the Shia, and the Kurds - is rapidly becoming
the accepted outcome for the country, fatally weakened by the
Coalition Provisional Authority, which, under Paul Bremer, governed
Iraq in the aftermath of the war. Such a division is hardly likely
to be stable, however, if at least one of the parties is as
trigger-happy as ISIS is proving to be. The present Prime Minister,
David Cameron, on Tuesday described the rise of ISIS as "the most
serious threat to Britain's security that there is today".
There is a significant shift in rhetoric, however. Mr Cameron
talked of focusing "our security, our policing, our intelligence
efforts" on the region, and specifically on any traffic of
extremists between the UK and Iraq or Syria. Just as the Rwandan
genocide taught Mr Blair the reasons for intervention, so the
expensive, inconclusive actions in Afghanistan and Iraq have tipped
his successors in the US and UK governments the other way. Yet the
West's response to the development of a new, brutal regime in the
Middle East cannot be confined to the policing of a few rogue
citizens at home. Past involvement, future threats, and present
atrocities all demand the world's attention. It would be a tragedy
if Western governments used the bruising they received in
Afghanistan and Iraq as a reason to turn their backs on the
suffering people of Iraq and Syria.