THE UK, like many developed economies, is in the midst of a debt
crisis of momentous proportions. The combination of private and
public debts, including unfunded pension liabilities, represents a
pile of debt equivalent to 500 per cent of GDP, according to a wide
range of economists. The last time the UK was this indebted was
just before the Great Depression in 1929. This quantity of debt
represents a form of indentured servitude of the population, and a
form of intergenerational injustice of grave proportions.
Most of this debt is owed to a very small number of commercial
banks and wealthy individuals - many of them claiming to reside
off-shore for tax purposes. Much of the debt was fictionally
created by banks in the first place, in the form of loans to
individuals and businesses, and not by government or the Royal
Mint. The debt has also inflated the market prices of housing,
land, and essential services, such as education, energy, health
care, and water.
The biologist Jared Diamond, in his influential book
Collapse: How societies choose to fail or survive
(Penguin, 2005, 2011), argues that the failure of contemporary
humanity to act prudentially with respect to the environment and
other long-run risks is because human beings are not good at
dealing with such risks. But I beg to differ. The real reason is
that 20th-century governments became inherent risk-takers, and
visitors of risk on future generations.
This is illustrated most clearly in the extent to which nation
states have become accustomed to sponsoring such a large scale of
state and corporate activities from the pubic purse that they are
unable to fund them without issuing promissory notes (government
bonds being the most common form) to be paid by future
generations.
The failure of the nations to mitigate the long-run risks to
future generations of climate change is part of a much larger
tendency in the modern world towards intergenerational injustice.
The Christian traditiongives strong grounds for resisting this.
LORD STERN has estimated the present-day costs of mitigating
carbon emissions, and so reducing the future costs of climate
change, as two per cent of annual GDP. The cheapest mitigating
activities include building-insulation, diet- modification to
reduce reliance on meat and dairy produce, and encouragement of
low-carbon transport, including walking and cycling.
The UK Government, however, has a stunningly poor record on all
three of these money-saving proposals (money-saving because they
would dramatically reduce health costs, as well as lower household
and hence welfare bills for fuel and food); in the mean time, it
promises vast sums of money to the builders of new power
stations.
The refusal prudently to reduce costs from climate change to
future generations - and hence to reduce the intergenerational
injustice that a less habitable planet would represent for them -
is sadly consistent with government behaviour, and the behaviour of
banks and the City of London, in other spheres of activity.
The UK already devotes more than two per cent of annual GDP to
paying an intergenerational debt in the form of government-backed
public pensions. The Office for National Statistics, at a meeting
at the Royal Society on 27 April 2012, officially announced for the
first time that the UK Government is committed to paying £5
trillion to its future retirees in payments to beneficiaries of
public-employee pension schemes and the universal state
pension.
WHILE these are vast sums, it is important to remember that they
will never fall due in any one year, but over decades. None the
less, public-pension payments are already the largest type of
government expenditure in the UK, taking up 21 per cent of
expenditure in 2013 at £139 billion; and this percentage will grow
as the population of public-pension beneficiaries ages.
Many economists believe that there is a demographic time-bomb
hidden in public pensions, which - with a worsening ratio of
working to retired people, and with future constraints on GDP (for
example, from climate change and the declining availability of
cheap energy) - looks unsustainable.
The reason for the unsustainable size of the pensions burden is
that the UK Government in the 20th century established a series of
pension arrangements that were no more than promissory notes across
the generations. The first was the universal citizen pension,
established in 1908, which pays every citizen a pension from the
public purse from the age of 60 for women and 65 for men until
their death (rising to 68 from 2046).
The second was a series of pension arrangements for public
employees (teachers, nurses, Forces personnel, doctors, civil
servants, and others) which promised to pay them pensions on
retirement in addition to the state pension. Most of these
arrangements - with the principal exceptions of employees in local
government and higher education - were not backed by public or
private investments, or by savings of any kind: they were merely
promises to pay, made by past governments on behalf of future
governments, against future government receipts.
IN MALAYSIA, where I lived in the 1980s, there are a similar set
of pension procedures to those in the UK, but with one essential
difference: the universal pension, and the public-service pensions,
are all funded. This means that when you are employed in Malaysia,
you are required to make monthly pension contributions into the
Employees Provident Fund (EPF), and when you are employed in public
service, you and your employer pay into a public-service
pension.
The funds that build up belong to the individual, although they
are invested in a collective pot, until drawn down by the
individual during retirement. Hence Malaysian citizens and public
employees receive pensions at retirement as the proceeds from the
pensioninvestments that they have built up in their own name. At
the end of 2013, the EPF (which was established in 1951) had funds
of $US178 billion.
PEOPLE are living longer than they did when such pension funds
were established, and hence actuarial sums on contribution-payments
ratios are having to be revised to ensure that funds can meet
obligations. There are similar issues with many private-pension
schemes in the UK and Europe. But actuarial adjustments can resolve
these in properly funded pensions, since there is a real pot of
money in each of these pension schemes, which belongs to each
individual contributor: judgements can be made on investment
returns and the balance between these and continuing contributions
to the funds by successor contributors.
Here, however, is the radical difference with UK public-pension
schemes. In the UK, there are no investment funds behind the state
and most other pubic pensions. National Insurance is only a tax,
analogous to income tax, and is treated by HM Treasury as
government income in the same way as other taxes.
One of the reasons why the Government continues with unfunded
pension liabilities is that it follows the advice of "welfare
economists", who argue that economic growth is a reliable feature
of modern fossil-fuelled industrial economies: governments
therefore borrow money, and raise expenditure beyond present net
national receipts, in the expectation of increased future GDP and
net receipts, from which to pay the interest and principal of
debts.
If, however, there is a larger economic lesson to be learned
from climate change and the related declining availability of cheap
energy, it is that economic growth is not endless. The earth is
finite, and its atmosphere has a finite capacity to absorb waste
gases from fossil fuels, without risking the enduring habitability
of the earth.
THE intergenerational injustice of the pension time-bomb and
rising house prices, together with the refusal of present
generations to mitigate climate change, underline the extent to
which the modern economy rests on usury. Governments refuse to
commit even two per cent of GDP to the reduction of
climate-changing fossil-fuel dependence, because they discount the
costs of the reduced habitability of the planet to future
people.
Governments also discount future costs against present
expenditure because their expenditure and liabilities are
calculated on the basis of interest rates. This is because, if
money now is more expensive than money next year - which it is when
you "buy" money that you do not have now, at interest - then money
values a year hence (including the monetary value of an
environmental hazard such as a less stable climate) are lower by
the rate of interest at which money is currently lent.
The Old Testament banned usury in Israel between the Hebrews
because the Hebrews saw interest-bearing money debt as a form of
interpersonal bondage, which enslaved debtor to lender, and future
generations to the debts of past generations.
The New Testament and the church Fathers extended the ban on
usury to all. Usury remained a mortal sin until the Reformation,
and it was only under pressure from the 16th-century rise of
mercantilism in Venice, Milan, Geneva, and London that the
proscription was reluctantly relaxed by John Calvin and others
among the Reformers. The way had been paved already, though, by
scholastic theologians, in their efforts to excuse the vast scale
of papal lending - much of it in the form of interest-bearing loans
- for the building of St Peter's in Rome.
NOW, 97 per cent of money in the UK economy is created through
interest-bearing debt, and not by the Government or the Bank of
England. As a paper by Bank of England economists, Money
Creation in the Modern Economy, published in March 2014,
shows, debt-based, or leveraged, money is fictionally entered into
the asset side of a bank's balance sheet, when an individual signs
a promissory note to repay debt in the form of a credit agreement
or mortgage.
The growth in bank debt-creation since the Thatcher-era
demutualisation of building societies, and the Stock Exchange "big
bang" of 1987 has fuelled dramatic rises in house prices, land
values, and in user fees for services such as water, energy, and
education.
The quantity of debt created by commercial banks was responsible
not only for the global financial crisis in 2008, but also for the
continuing burden of debt carried by households, and by
govern-ment.
The truth that the Government itself will not admit is that
bank-created money is out of its control. This refusal is in part
because the neoclassical economists who advise the Government
(including the Treasury) refuse to admit that money is any more
than a medium of exchange. But economists' inability to account for
the power of money in their economic models has hidden the extent
to which exponential growth in debt-based money is destroying the
social contract between Government and people, and between the
generations, in the UK today.
IN CHRIST's first sermon in Nazareth, he announced that the
jubilee year, the "acceptable year", had arrived in his person.
Leviticus 25 indicates that debts were written down to nought in
Israel every 50 years, as the lands that underwrote them were
returned to the families who had lost them to debt.
Debt-forgiveness is also the central petition of the Lord's
Prayer. From Joseph to Jesus, the Bible tells a story about slavery
and salvation, debt-bondage and forgiveness. Since the Reformation,
however, the story of salvation has gradually turned from a message
of socio-political liberation into one of inward personal
piety.
In this perspective, the efforts of the Archbishop of
Canterbury, early in his time at Lambeth, to resist the worst kind
of usury in the form of payday loans, which attract 5000-per-cent
interest rates, are highly significant. Yet the Government refuses
to restrain interest rates legally, and hence to restrain
usury.
Instead, it offers only to cap the number of times a loan can be
rolled over. This is because the City of London is built on
debt-based money and usury, and the Government refuses to take back
controlof the money supply as a public good.
Instead of grasping the nettle of intergenerational injustice,
and reintroducing restraints on commercial money-creation, the
Government has instead scapegoated people on housing benefit, the
disabled, and the unemployed, whose combined welfare receipts are a
small fraction of the cost of unfunded pension liabilities.
Meanwhile, government annual borrowing from the commercial
bankers of the City of London, who now effectively control the
pound, since most pounds are in the form of debts owed to City
banks, has quadrupled since 2008 - all of it underwritten by
interest-bearing bonds sold to the City and to be paid down by
future generations of taxpayers.
THE extent of debt in Britain and in other modern economies is not
only a cause of misery to the poor and to indebted households, and
the payers of extortionate user-fees, such as undergraduates for
their education: it is also a cause of intergenerational
displacement of mounting costs from an unsustainable growthist
economy.
Without growth in economic activity, measured as GDP - including
the burning of fossil fuels, the mining of minerals, the cutting
down of ancient forests, the erosion of precious topsoil, and the
industrial harvesting of the oceans - governments, businesses, and
households cannot meet the payments on their debt.
Debt-based money nearly destroyed the UK and the whole global
economy in 2008. Attempts to "pay down" commercial debt by
governments by scapegoating the poor are fracturing communities
across Europe, and have led to a vast and unjust extent of youth
unemployment.
Governments, however, fail to address the cause of the problem,
which is the "commercial freedoms" of banks to continue to create
money from nothing, in the form of debt. At some point in the
present century, the modern usurious economy will be served with a
time-up card - either by a vast crash in asset prices, as
governments and individuals fail to meet debt and pension
obligations, or by an ecological crisis, as governments put off to
the future the costs of repairing and reducing our debts to the
planet from unsustainable growth.
Do we want to allow our grandchildren to be the ones on whom
that card is served? If not, then, as Christians, we need to
recover the biblical ban on usury, and the related biblical
understanding of intergenerational justice, and announce them as
the social meaning of salvation to a nation that continues to pile
up financial and ecological liabilities on present and future
generations.
The Revd Michael Northcott is Professor of Ethics in the
University of Edinburgh, and the author ofA Political Theology
of Climate Change (SPCK, 2014).